基于协同进化的多平台联合对地观测优化调度

在分析了卫星与无人机在执行观测与资源调度上的特性差异基础上,建立了多平台联合对地观测调度问题的数学模型,提出了多平台协同进化调度算法(MPCCPSA)进行求解。MPCCPSA采用分层式协同进化架构解决了不同类型观测方案统一调度生成问题。根据不同类型平台使用特性以及观测目标集合特点,采用分治-合作策略将其分解分配到各平台,顶层的交叉、变异操作保证各种群的多样性,底层的分治、合作算子保证卫星与无人机之间保持观测能力动态互补,在确保可行解的前提下加快收敛速度。仿真实验表明该方法能够有效解决空-天基多类型平台联合观测优化调度问题。     

多平台雷达有源干扰资源分配算法

根据现代干扰机特点,建立"多对多"雷达有源干扰资源分配数学模型,结合分配算法的具体应用环境,提出了基于多Agent分布协同拍卖的雷达干扰资源分配算法,实例表明该方法可行。     

UUV编队协同搜索静止目标的准最优方法

考虑到操作的简单性且实际执行搜索任务时搜索力不是无限可分,将连续空间的搜索问题转换为离散空间的最优搜索问题。通过划分网格,将连续的目标位置分布离散化。根据最优搜索理论,提出了单个无人水下航行器的准最优随机搜索方法,较好地逼近理论最优值。并以此为基础,分析了无人水下航行器编队的3种协同搜索方法:集中最优搜索、分散最大概率搜索和准最优搜索。最后通过实例仿真,得出了编队准最优搜索策略的有效性、优越性和可操作性。此方法将对无人水下航行器编队的战法研究具有参考借鉴意义。     

无伞末敏子弹大攻角非线性空气动力和力矩模型

以无伞末敏子弹为背景,分析了描述大攻角飞行弹丸横向运动和角运动的运动变量,建立了大攻角情况下弹丸所受非线性空气动力和空气动力矩的模型,推导出了复数形式的弹丸横向运动与角运动方程。数值积分计算表明,弹丸在特定非线性空气动力和力矩作用下,能够形成所需形式的扫描运动,证明所建力学模型正确合理,可以用于无伞末敏子弹动力学特性的分析与计算。     

未来中远距协同空战多目标攻击决策研究

根据先进战斗机的技术特点和未来中远距协同空战发展方向,提出一种基于先敌发现、先敌发射、先敌摧毁能力的空战态势分析模型。同时,采用一种将并行遗传算法与分布估计算法相结合的并行分布遗传算法并将其用于多目标攻击决策。最后利用具体算例进行仿真。结果表明空战态势分析模型能够较为准确地描述未来中远距多机协同空战,采用的算法具有较好的可行性和实时性,为中远距多机协同空战的多目标攻击决策提供了新的思路和方法。     

坦克分队快速机动协同控制系统构想

作为一体化联合作战体系中重要的陆基栅格节点,坦克分队的快速机动能力对于顺利完成机动突击任务具有重要影响,而坦克分队的机动协同控制则是实现分队快速机动的关键。首先提出一种坦克分队协同控制系统架构,然后对该架构的组成及关键技术进行了探讨和分析,期望有助于提升新型坦克分队的快速机动能力。     

航母编队在对海进攻中电子干扰飞机空域配置方法

航母编队在对海进攻中,通常会指派电子干扰飞机前出在一定的空域里对敌进行电磁压制,以提高编队空中突击能力。基于对海进攻中电子干扰飞机任务,提出了电子干扰飞机空域配置的基本要求,分析了电子干扰飞机到敌水面舰艇距离、攻击编队或导弹突防航向角对空域配置的影响。最后通过实例进行了仿真计算,为对海进攻中电子干扰飞机空域配置提供了参考依据。     

Re-thinking the Unthinkable: Arms Control in the Twenty-First Century

ABSTRACT

Since the end of the Cold War, arms control proponents tried to make the case for deep nuclear reductions and other forms of security cooperation as necessary for strategic stability. While different versions of strategic stability analysis did sometimes produce innovative proposals, constructive negotiations, and successful ratification campaigns in the past, this analytical framework has become more of a hindrance than a help. Treating arms control as a predominantly technical way to make deterrence more stable by changing force structure characteristics, military operations, relative numbers of weapons on either side, or total number of nuclear weapons gives short shrift to political factors, including the fundamental assumptions about world politics that inform different arms control logics, the quality of political relations among leading states, and the political processes that affect negotiation, ratification, and implementation. This article compares two logics for arms control as a means to enhance strategic stability, one developed by the Cambridge community in the 1960s and one used by the Reagan administration and its successors, with current perspectives on strategic stability in which flexibility and freedom of action are preferable to predictability and arms control. It also contrasts what the Barack Obama administration has tried to achieve through strategic stability dialogues with Russia and China with how they envision security cooperation. It then presents an approach developed during the Cold War by Hedley Bull for thinking about both the technical and the political dimensions of arms control, and suggests that the logic of Cooperative Security (which shares important features with Bull's approach) is a more appropriate and productive way to think about arms control in the twenty-first century than strategic stability analysis is.     

U.S. policy on preventive war and preemption

In the aftermath of September 11, 2001 and Hurricane Katrina, the United States government has spent tens of billions of dollars to improve the nation's ability to respond to a natural disaster or terrorist attack, but the emphasis on immediate first response has left many long-term environmental, political, and technological challenges unaddressed. Although a dirty bomb attack is unlikely to yield the same amount of physical devastation and death as caused by Katrina or a nuclear weapon, the social, psychological, and economic impact would be enormous. At present, however, the United States lacks the technology necessary to decontaminate a large, densely populated urban area under time, political, and economic constraints. This article reviews past cleanup experiences and current decontamination capabilities to consider the long-term implications of a dirty bomb, identifies weaknesses in America's existing response capabilities, notes possible areas of political friction, and considers the implications of the failure to adequately prepare. Having the appropriate decontamination techniques established and long-term plans in place before an incident occurs will significantly improve the government's ability to protect public and environmental security, establish a viable decontamination strategy, allow residents to return to their homes, and get the local economy back on its feet.     

群决策理论在多机协同空战机动决策中的应用

针对近距空战中多架战机对空中的多个敌对目标进行协同攻击的机动决策问题进行了研究。将群决策理论引入多机协同空战机动决策,首先确定了决策成员与候选方案,然后基于战场态势评估提出了采用风险决策准则的偏好排序确定方法,给出了集结偏好的序数型群决策方法。在不同空战想定条件下进行仿真,结果表明,该方法合理、可行,具有良好的应用前景。